
When floodwaters are strong enough to kill an elephant, what chance would a human have? This was the harsh reality that survivors all across Southeast Asia had to grapple with as monsoon rains, which got their power from a rare occurrence of two tropical cyclones, unleashed one of the most massive flood disasters in the recent past.

1. Survival Against Impossible Odds
Aminah Ali, 63, from Indonesia’s Aceh province, managed to hold on to her rooftop for 24 hours while the floodwaters that were three meters high engulfed her village. “I saw many houses being swept away,” she recalled. Now she only has a shirt and no home. Busra Ishak, 60, went through the floodwaters that were carrying heavy logs, and while swimming, he held onto a coconut tree for more than 12 hours. “The strong current was such that even an elephant could have been killed by it,” he said, while mourning the death of his sister.
In Hat Yai, southern Thailand, Natchanun Insuwano’s family was so lucky that they had only one bottle of water for three days while being trapped in a house that was flooded up to the waist. When the volunteer boat arrived, his mother was already unconscious. Malayan pit viper bit Chutikan Panpit while she was checking the water levels, and she did not get medical care for 32 hours. “I only thought of my son’s face,” she said, death or losing her hand she was scared of.

2. A Disaster of Unprecedented Scale
The disaster has been spread everywhere, starting from Indonesia’s Sumatra and going to Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Vietnam, and Thailand; the death toll has exceeded 1,100 people, and millions have been forced to leave their homes. The destruction of 11 bridges in Sumatra alone has caused the isolation of entire areas. The president of Sri Lanka described the floods as “the most challenging natural disaster” the country had ever faced and stated that more than 25,000 houses had been destroyed.
The extent of the disaster was only partially caused by the unusual cluster of storms: Cyclone Senyar originated at 3.8°N in the Malacca Strait, Typhoon Koto affected the Philippines and Vietnam, and Cyclone Ditwah devastated Sri Lanka. In fact, such cyclones near the equator are very infrequent, thus the impact on such communities that are not prepared for it is huge.

3. Climate Science Behind the Catastrophe
According to the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, one of the main reasons for this is warming oceans that provide more energy for storms thus increasing their intensity while their number might be lower. A warmer atmosphere can hold more water vapor which directly relates to heavier rainfall in a shorter period of time. This “supercharged” water cycle leads to the occurrence of high water levels rising very fast, which, in fact, makes flash floods more probable, especially in already vulnerable regions e.g. Southeast Asia.
Very near to the equator was the place where Cyclone Senyar was formed, which was quite against the usual weather patterns, thereby highlighting the fact that global warming is pushing the weather events to places where they have never been before.

4. Systemic Failures in Thailand’s Response
Hat Yai local people suffered greatly as a result of the disaster that was a culmination of wrong decisions and lack of proper communication. Narongporn Na Phatthalung, the mayor, acknowledged the errors and mentioned a “Rain Boom” during which the rain dropped over 300mm in six hours. People got mixed up about red and green warning flags, phone and internet services were down, and there was a lack of rescue boats, therefore thousands of people were left without help.
Local agencies were not able to accurately judge the situation, thus they only gave evacuation orders after the floodwaters had already reached chest level. The critics have particularly pointed the finger at the Office of National Water Resources, which they say was responsible for not analyzing the rainfall forecasts and advising the local government that had to work by intuition instead of relying on experts’ guidance.

5. Humanitarian Crisis and Relief Efforts
Rescue workers are doing everything possible to help people get through the catastrophe, which includes transporting the most needed items by air, going through streets that are covered by water, and giving out food using boats. Charity organizations in Sri Lanka have prepared thousands of meals to serve the people who are cut off from the power supply and communication. In Perlis, Malaysia, the flood victims who had to stay overnight after being caught by floods that occurred at midnight are now taking refuge in tents.

The United Nations has showed its willingness to provide support and one of its spokespeople, Clare Nullis, emphasized that the continent is very vulnerable to flooding that often goes hand in hand with the occurrence of rare cyclones in places where the locals have never dealt with such kind of situations before.

6. The Mental Health Toll
After all the physical damage, the survivors still have to deal with the invisible sufferings. Psychiatrist Nomi Levy-Carrick explains that the disasters come with “a sudden loss of control and uncertainty” which, in turn, bring about the symptoms of shock, fear, and confusion. For some of them these symptoms later become chronic anxiety, depression, PTSD, or survivor’s guilt.
The professionals in the field of psychology suggest giving psychological first aid to those who have survived in order to make them feel safe, give them back their control, and help them establish connections with support networks. Psychologically prepared methods of coping with stress proper rest, nutrition, and being socially connected can be very helpful in times of distress while it is also very important not to engage in the harmful behavior of substance misuse, for instance.

7. Recovery as a Long Journey
Recovery after the disaster is usually a non-linear process. People re-establish their neighborhoods by building homes, revitalizing the economy, and changing as per the requirements of the new environment.’
According to the Conservation of Resources model, the loss of a place to live, a source of income, and social interaction lowers the ability to cope and hence increases psychological distress. So, the provision of aid in these areas which will help the people to renew these resources can be a great motivation and speed up the recovery process.
The residents of Hat Yai and Sumatra are currently so traumatized by the floods that they now startle at the mere sound of raindrops. Nevertheless, specialists underline the potential of post-traumatic growth – discovering inner strength and fresh purpose after losing a lot.

8. Preparing for the Future
Scientists warn that if global warming continues, there will be more of these kinds of extreme monsoon floodings. It is very important to improve the early warning systems, have clear evacuation plans ready, and also be investing in climate adaptation. The preparedness for natural calamities among the vulnerable should not only cover their physical safety but also their mental strength.
The voices of the survivors that can be heard from the rooftop in Aceh and also from the terrace of the snake-bitten person in Hat Yai are nothing but a cold reminder that with a warming planet, the line differentiating seasonal weather and disaster is becoming dangerously thin.


